文章
生活

【Quora】为什么革命总是走向极权

青年 :(
青年  ·  2020年10月30日 一切死亡都有冗長的回聲

原问题+回答

The kind of people who participate in and lead violent revolutions are (for the most part) authoritarians. If they are not actually members of the military they are militarily inclined: accustomed to solving problems through violence and physical domination; suspicious of outsiders, whom they view as potential spies, assassins, and saboteurs; given to quick, authoritative decisions rather than slow, philosophical deliberation... It does not matter what ideology such people espouse when they are fighting battles to achieve political dominance; once they have it, they do not have the skills or worldviews that would lead them to create or foster liberal democratic forms of governance.

投身並領導武裝革命的人(絕大多數)都是獨裁者。就算他們不真正屬於軍隊的一員,他們也是偏向軍事化的:習慣於以暴力和物理上(而非精神上)的優勢解決問題;懷疑外人,也就是那些被它們看作潛在的敵方間諜、刺客、破壞者的人(譯者註:就像品蔥如何抓間諜一樣,恐懼自己的革命被敵手滲透);慣於作快速的獨裁決定,而不是緩慢的哲學審思......這些爲了獲取政治主導地位而拼火的人,他們持有何種意識形態並不重要;即便他們取得勝利,他們也沒有能建立或培養自由民主政體的能力或世界觀。

投身并领导武装革命的人(绝大多数)都是独裁者。就算他们不真正属于军队的一员,他们也是偏向军事化的:习惯于以暴力和物理上(而非精神上)的优势解决问题;怀疑外人,也就是那些被它们看作潜在的敌方间谍、刺客、破坏者的人(译者注:就像品葱如何抓间谍一样,恐惧自己的革命被敌手渗透);惯于作快速的独裁决定,而不是缓慢的哲学审思......这些为了获取政治主导地位而拼火的人,他们持有何种意识形态并不重要;即便他们取得胜利,他们也没有能建立或培养自由民主政体的能力或世界观。

Revolutions that lead to democracies are usually popular independence break-offs, as in the US and Indian revolutions, where the 'old' rule is locally weak, distant, and not threatened with complete destruction. Loyalists to the old regime leave and return to the homeland, the previous rulers have the remains of their regime to govern, and the new rulers merely need to secure their borders and not worry too much about counter-revolutionary movements or reactionary insurgents. That gives everyone a sense of space and peace that lets them build more healthy, democratic regimes. In places like Syria or Libya, where the old regime has to be actually and actively destroyed, and loyalists have nowhere else to go, it would take enormous presence of mind for the new leader to create democratic institutions, because she/he would have to accept the risks of giving full liberties to old-rule loyalists.

走向民主的革命通常都是獨立運動,就像美國和印度的革命一樣,舊規則在當地是弱的,遙遠的,不會受到「徹底破壞」的威脅的。忠誠於舊政權的人會離開並回到故土,革命前的統治者仍然擁有統治權,而革命後的新的統治者們也只需要保證領土的安全,無需過於懼怕反對革命運動的人,或者是反叛的起義。這給每個人以足夠自由的活動空間(a sense of space,這樣翻譯好麼?)和和平友愛,這樣他們就可以建造更健康、更民主的制度了。在像敘利亞和利比亞這樣的地方,舊的政權必須被真正地、積極地摧毀,舊政權的忠誠者們沒地方可去,如此,若想創建民主的體制,新的領導人就需要大費腦力,因爲他/她必須接受由「給予舊制度忠誠者完全自由」而帶來的風險。

走向民主的革命通常都是独立运动,就像美国和印度的革命一样,旧规则在当地是弱的,遥远的,不会受到「彻底破坏」的威胁的。忠诚于旧政权的人会离开并回到故土,革命前的统治者仍然拥有统治权,而革命后的新的统治者们也只需要保证领土的安全,无需过于惧怕反对革命运动的人,或者是反叛的起义。这给每个人以足够自由的活动空间(a sense of space,这样翻译好么?)和和平友爱,这样他们就可以建造更健康、更民主的制度了。在像叙利亚和利比亚这样的地方,旧的政权必须被真正地、积极地摧毁,旧政权的忠诚者们没地方可去,如此,若想创建民主的体制,新的领导人就需要大费脑力,因为他/她必须接受由「给予旧制度忠诚者完全自由」而带来的风险。

菜单
  1. 狼狼醬 耶渣
    狼狼醬   私信可以,但我保留你亂罵的時候公開私信的權利。不算好的基督徒,深信左右都是膠的港獨。

    為甚麼段落重複了這麼多次……

    另外,看來港台……

  2. 一只雞兒 一致通过
    一只雞兒   坚持贯彻主体思想一亿年不动摇

    想起一句话,忘记是谁说的了'一个人不建立独裁是为了保护革命;一个人发起革命是为了建立独裁'

  3. 邹韬奋 外逃贪官CA
    邹韬奋   虽然韬光养晦,亦当奋起而争(拜登永不为奴:h.2047.one)

    “A revolution is a rapid, fundamental, and violent domestic change in the dominant values and myths of a society, in its political institutions, social structure, leadership, and government activity and policies. Revolutions are thus to be distinguished from insurrections, rebellions, revolts, coups, and wars of independence. A coup d'etat in itself changes only leadership and perhaps policies; a rebellion or insurrection may change policies, leadership, and political institutions, but not social structure and values; a war of independence is a struggle of one community against rule by an alien community and does not necessarily involve changes in the social structure of either community. What is here called simply "revolution" is what others have called great revolutions, grand revolutions, or social revolutions. Notable examples are the French, Chinese, Mexican, Russian, and Cuban revolutions.” --Huntington,Political Order in Changing Societies, pp 264

    贵网站对英文太不友好了,胡乱分词。就算不支持soft-hyphen (shy) 也至少应该把太长的词显示到下一行啊。管理员,我控诉!

  4. 守法刁民  

    並非革命導致獨裁,而是任何不受制約的勢力獨大時,必然導致獨裁。如果革命勢力取代了當前的勢力,那麼革命勢力就會成為新的不受制約的勢力,那麼自然會走向獨裁,比如法國大革命後和英國鮑倫威爾時期都出現過的暴政。憲政從來不是一家獨大的產物,憲政往往是相互妥協的結果。所以要不要革命?要的。最理想的革命狀態是什麼?不是革命勢力一家獨大,而是革命勢力強大到足以對當局構成威脅而當局又沒有充足的力量將革命勢力推翻,革命勢力也沒有充分的能力推翻原政權,最終在兩者的妥協下組建新的政權。

  5. 邹韬奋 外逃贪官CA
    邹韬奋   虽然韬光养晦,亦当奋起而争(拜登永不为奴:h.2047.one)

    @守法刁民 #110749 专制政府有类似磁滞回线的属性,也就是革命党人实力超过政府实力之后不能立刻推翻政府(相变),而是进入亚稳态,在偶然事件爆发后迅速反转局势并推翻政府,类似在过冷水里投入冰晶,导致整杯水迅速结冰。

    民主和选举就是大量加入搅局的成分,因此反对派实力超过政府少许之后就能轮替组阁。

  6. 青年 :(
    青年   一切死亡都有冗長的回聲